print
text size
+

Guidance

Download Corporate Guidance(1) (PDF: 143k)
Download Key Resource Play Information (PDF: 21k)
Download Supplemental Information (PDF: 27k)

2008F Corporate Guidance (1)



US$, US Protocols
May 11, 2008
 
 

 EnCana

 

GasCo(5)

IOCo(5)

Cash Flow ($ billions, except per share amounts) 
Total Cash Flow(2)(3)

9.6 - 10.0

 - per common share, diluted ($/share) 12.75 - 13.30
Note: Total Cash Flow has not been adjusted to reflect approximately $1 billion of accelerated cash tax related to the proposed transaction.          
           
Operating Cash Flow(2)(4)          
  Upstream  

 11.6 - 12.1

 

7.9 - 8.2

 3.7 - 3.9

  Downstream  

 0.5 - 0.6

 

 -

 0.5 - 0.6

  MDMK & Corporate  

0.0 - 0.2

0.0 - 0.1

0.0 - 0.1

Operating Cash Flow  

 12.1 - 12.9

7.9 - 8.3

4.2 - 4.6

Pre-tax Cash Flow(2)(3)

11.2 - 11.7
  
North American Production (after royalties) 
Natural Gas (MMcf/d)
  Canada

2,120

1,260

860

  United States 1,660 1,660 -

3,780

2,920

860

Oil and NGLs, excluding Integrated Oilsands (Mbbls/d)  
  Canada

85

17

68

  United States

13

13

-

98

30

68

Upstream, excluding Integrated
  Oilsands (MMcfe/d, 6:1)

4,368

3,100

1,268

Integrated Oilsands (Mbbls/d)

34

-

34

Total (MMcfe/d, 6:1)

4,570

3,100

1,470

Capital Investment ($ billions)

Upstream Canada, excluding
  Integrated Oilsands

3.1

2.2

0.9

Upstream United States, excluding
  Integrated Oilsands

 

 2.5

 

 2.5

 -

Integrated Oilsands 1.2 - 1.2
Subtotal

6.8

4.7

2.1

Midstream & Marketing & Corporate 0.2 0.2 0.0
Total Capital Expenditures

7.0

4.9

2.1

Net Acquisitions & Divestitures

(0.5)

Net Capital Investment

6.5

(1)  References to Integrated Oilsands throughout relate to the EnCana (ECA)/ConocoPhillips (COP) enterprises formed in January 2007. ECA contributed Foster Creek and Christina Lake projects to the Upstream Integrated Oilsands Partnership. COP contributed the Wood River and Borger refineries to the Downstream Integrated Oilsands LLC. ECA and COP have equivalent interests in each enterprise.
(2)  Based on first quarter actuals and March 31 strip pricing for the remainder of 2008: NYMEX of $10.25/Mcf, WTI of $100/bbl, Chicago 3-2-1 crack spread of $12.00/bbl and an average U.S./Canadian dollar foreign exchange rate of $0.97.
(3)  This guidance refers to certain non-GAAP measures including cash flow, operating cash flow, pre-tax cash flow and operating earnings from continuing operations. Cash flow is a non-GAAP measure defined as Cash from Operating Activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities, net change in non-cash working capital from continuing operations and net change in non-cash working capital from discontinued operations, all of which are defined on the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows. Pre-tax cash flow is calculated as cash flow before cash taxes. Operating earnings is a non-GAAP measure defined as Net Earnings excluding the after-tax gains/losses on discontinuance, after-tax effect of unrealized mark-to-market accounting gains/losses on derivative instruments, after-tax gains/losses on translation of U.S. dollar denominated debt issued from Canada and the partnership contribution receivable, after-tax foreign exchange gains/losses on settlement of intercompany transactions, future income tax on foreign exchange related to U.S. dollar intercompany debt recognized for tax purposes only, and the effect of changes in statutory income tax rates. Management believes that these excluded items reduce the comparability of EnCana's underlying financial performance between periods. The majority of the unrealized gains/losses that relate to U.S. dollar denominated Notes issued from Canada are for debt with maturity dates in excess of five years. Operating Cash Flow is defined as Gross Revenues less: Royalties, Production & Mineral Taxes, Transportation, Operating Expense and Costs of Product Purchased. These measures have been described and presented in this guidance in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding EnCana’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations.
(4) Operating Cash Flow is defined as Gross Revenues less: Royalties, Production & Mineral Taxes, Transportation, Operating Expense and Costs of Product Purchased. These measures have been described and presented in this guidance in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding EnCana’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations.
(5)  All figures pro forma the proposed transaction (the "Transaction") as described in EnCana Corporation's news release dated May 11, 2008.
  
 

 EnCana

 

GasCo(1)

IOCo(1)

Upstream Operating Costs(2) (annual average)
Natural Gas ($/Mcf)
   Canada 1.15 1.30 0.95
   United States  

0.65

0.65

-

   

 0.95

 

 0.90

 0.95

Oil ($/bbl)          

  Integrated Oilsands

 

 17.00

 

 -

 17.00

  North America, excluding
    Integrated Oilsands
 

13.25

14.00

11.00

Total Operating Costs ($/Mcfe)  

 1.10

 

 0.90

 1.45

         
Administrative Expense(3) ($/Mcfe)

0.30

0.25

0.40

Other
US$/C$ Exchange Rate   1.000 1.000 1.000
DD&A, Upstream ($/Mcfe)  

 2.40

 

 2.70

 1.75

Effective Book Tax Rate, as a percentage of
  Operating Earnings from Continuing
  Operations(4)(5) (%) 

33

Sensitivities(6) ($ millions)

Operating Cash Flow(7)

$1.00/Mcf increase in the NYMEX gas price

575

460

115

$10.00/bbl increase in the WTI oil price  

 300

65

235

$0.05 decrease in the U.S./Canadian dollar
  exchange rate (eg. US$1.00/C$1 to
  US$0.95/C$1)

75

35

40

$1.00 increase in the Chicago 3-2-1
  crack spread

75

-

75

   
(1)  Pro forma the proposed Transaction. Relevant assumptions and qualifications with respect to the Transaction are contained in the advisory on page 2 of this guidance.
(2)  Excludes expenses related to activities of the Offshore & International Division.
(3)  Excludes transaction costs.
(4)  Excludes the effect of acquisitions and divestitures, tax rate changes and mark-to-market gains or losses.
(5)  Operating Earnings from Continuing Operations is a non-GAAP measure. Please refer to footnote 3 on page 1 of this guidance.
(6)  Includes approximated hedge positions as at March 31, 2008.
(7)  Operating Cash Flow is defined in footnote 3 on page 1 of this guidance.


Back to top

Advisory:  In the interests of providing EnCana Corporation (“EnCana” or the “company”) shareholders and potential investors with information regarding EnCana and the proposed Transaction, including management’s assessment of future plans and operations relating to GasCo and Integrated Oilco (“IOCo”), this document contains certain statements and information that are forward-looking statements or information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, and which are collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements". Forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements and tables (collectively “statements”) with respect to: estimates of cash flow for 2008; estimates of production volumes for 2008; estimates of operating costs and administrative expense for 2008; projected 2008 capital expenditures and allocations thereof; projected 2008 net acquisitions and divestitures; estimates of US$/C$ 2008 exchange rates, depreciation, depletion and amortization (DD&A), effective book tax rate as a percentage of operating earnings from continuing operations; anticipated 3-2-1 crack spread; and projected 2008 sensitivities and their impact on operating cash flow.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as there can be no assurance that the future circumstances, outcomes or results anticipated in or implied by such forward-looking statements will occur or that plans, intentions or expectations upon which the forward-looking statements are based will occur.  By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, that contribute to the possibility that circumstances, events or outcomes anticipated or implied by forward-looking statements will not occur, which may cause the actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from the performance or results anticipated or implied by any such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, among other things: risks associated with the ability to obtain any necessary approvals, waivers, consents, court orders and other requirements necessary or desirable to permit or facilitate the proposed Transaction (including regulatory and shareholder approvals); the risk that any applicable conditions of the proposed Transaction may not be satisfied;  volatility of and assumptions regarding oil and gas prices;  assumptions contained in or relevant to the company’s current corporate guidance;  fluctuations in currency and interest rates; product supply and demand; market competition; risks inherent in marketing operations (including credit risks); imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids from resource plays and other sources not currently classified as proved reserves; the ability to successfully manage and operate the integrated North American oilsands business with ConocoPhillips; refining and marketing margins; potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; potential failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying manufacturing, refining or processing facilities; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing, transporting, refining or processing crude oil or natural gas; risks associated with technology and the application thereof to the business of GasCo and IOCo; the ability to replace and expand oil and gas reserves; the ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future obligations; the ability to access external sources of debt and equity capital; the timing and the costs of well and pipeline construction; the ability to secure adequate product transportation; changes in royalty, tax, environmental and other laws or regulations or the interpretations of such laws or regulations; applicable political and economic conditions; the risk of war, hostilities, civil insurrection, political instability and terrorist threats; risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory actions; and other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities by EnCana. Although EnCana believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive.

Forward-looking information respecting anticipated 2008 cash flow, operating cash flow and pre-tax cash flow for EnCana, and for GasCo and IOCo pro forma the proposed  Transaction, is based upon achieving average production of oil and gas for 2008 as set out above, average commodity prices for 2008 based on actual results for the first quarter of 2008, and for the balance of 2008, a WTI price of $100/bbl for oil, a NYMEX price of $10.25/Mcf for natural gas, an average U.S./Canadian dollar foreign exchange rate of $0.97, an average Chicago crack spread for 2008 of $12.00/bbl for refining margins, and an average number of outstanding shares for EnCana of approximately 750 million.  Assumptions relating to forward looking statements generally include EnCana’s current expectations and projections made by the company in light of, and generally consistent with, its historical experience and its perception of historical trends, as well as expectations regarding rates of advancement and innovation, generally consistent with and informed by its past experience, all of which are subject to the risk factors identified elsewhere in this document.

Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this document are made as of the date of this document, and, except as required by law, EnCana does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

Back to top